Thursday, November 27, 2014

27th November,2014 Daily Exclusive ORYZA E-Newsletter by Riceplus Magazine

Italy Paddy Production Fell 4% in 2014 Due to Adverse Weather

Nov 26, 2014
More rice paddy acreage and reduced paddy yield, due to cold and damp weather; this is the final result of Italian crop year 2014. Ente Nazionale Risi, the National Agency for Rice, in its annual report on Italian production reports that the total 2014 paddy harvest reached 1,372,878 tons, down about -4% from 1,426,789 tons one year ago. In 2014, total planted area was 219,534 hectares, up +1.3% compared to 216,019 hectares in 2013.

The cold and very rainy summer deeply influenced the yields, varying from 6.8 tons per hectare for round varieties to 4.7 tons per hectare for medium ones with an average yield of about 6.3 tons per hectare.Medium grain paddy production totaled 33,183 tons (+27% y/y) despite low yields; Long A for parboiling and for risotto reached 616,594 tons (yield at 5.9 tons per hectare), up +19% from 2013 production. There was a big decrease for Indica varieties: Long B dropped to 364,968 tons, down -26% from 2013 (yield at 6.6 tons per hectare). Round grain paddy fell to 358,132 tons, down  -7% y/y (yield at 6.8 tons per hectare).

As for Italian rice exports to EU countries, they reached 524,000 tons in September 2014, down 5.6% y/y. Meanwhile Italian rice exports outside EU almost doubled at 28,933 tons in September (up +83%). Rice imports into Italy were firm at 9,505 tons in September (down -7.3% y/y).

Bangladesh Rice Farmers Give Up High-Yielding Hybrid Varieties for Climate Smart Ones

Nov 26, 2014

Bangladesh rice farmers are abandoning high-yielding hybrid rice varieties and are adopting old traditional rice varieties, which are more resilient to climate changes such as floods and drought, according to Reuters. 

According to the Director General of the Bangladesh Rice Research Institute (BRRI), nearly 20% of rice fields in the southern part of the country are replaced with indigenous rice varieties that can withstand drought, flooding and other stresses.
Since 1960s, when the Bangladesh government introduced high-yielding hybrid rice varieties, farmers have adopted them with an intention to increase yields and income. However, these high-yielding varieties are not able to withstand extreme climatic conditions like  irregular rainfall, floods and droughts, and farmers have been facing decline in incomes.

In this backdrop, they again started using old traditional varieties, which they say are more adaptable to climatic vagaries. Some of them are using both side by side. Several non-governmental organizations encouraged farmers to readopt old traditional varieties to cope with adverse climate conditions as well as o protect "heritage" species. Such an initiation by farmers has helped the return of some varieties, which had almost vanished. 'Saika' and 'Sashi Mohon' are two such varieties.
The government, which had previously encouraged the use of high-yielding hybrid varieties is now promoting the use of old traditional varieties to help farmers cope with climate changes. Farmers also feel these varieties are more easy to grow as they need lesser amounts of fertilizers and pesticides and produce decent yields in unpredictable conditions as well. They see them as minimum guarantee varieties. 



Global Rice Quotes
November 26th, 2014

Long grain white rice - high quality
Thailand 100% B grade          420-430           ↔
Vietnam 5% broken    385-395           ↓
India 5% broken         390-400           ↓
Pakistan 5% broken    380-390           ↔
Cambodia 5% broken             455-465           ↔
U.S. 4% broken           540-550           ↔
Uruguay 5% broken    595-605           ↔
Argentina 5% broken 595-605           ↔

Long grain white rice - low quality
Thailand 25% broken NQ      ↔
Vietnam 25% broken 350-360           ↔
Pakistan 25% broken 335-345           ↔
Cambodia 25% broken           NQ      ↔
India 25% broken       355-365           ↓
U.S. 15% broken         515-525           ↔

Long grain parboiled rice
Thailand parboiled 100% stxd            405-415           ↔
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd    420-430           ↔
India parboiled 5% broken stxd         375-385           ↓
U.S. parboiled 4% broken       580-590           ↔
Brazil parboiled 5% broken    570-580           ↔
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken            NQ      ↔
Long grain fragrant rice
Thailand Hommali 92%          865-875           ↔
Vietnam Jasmine         525-535           ↔
India basmati 2% broken        NQ      ↔
Pakistan basmati 2% broken   NQ      ↔
Cambodia Phka Malis             835-845           ↔

Brokens
Thailand A1 Super      330-340           ↔
Vietnam 100% broken            325-335           ↑
Pakistan 100% broken stxd    305-315           ↔
Cambodia A1 Super   NQ      ↔
India 100% Broken stxd         300-310           ↓
Egypt medium grain brokens NQ      ↔
U.S. pet food 445-455           ↔
Brazil half grain          NQ      ↔
All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com

Oryza Afternoon Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Continue to Drift Lower on Reduced Trade Volume and Silent Cash Market

Nov 25, 2014

Chicago rough rice futures for Jan delivery settled 7.5 cents per cwt (about $2 per ton) lower at $12.370 per cwt (about $273 per ton). Rough rice futures traded lower again today, as the market continues to suffer from a lack of interest likely due to the shortened holiday week. Little is expected in the way of trade volume over the rest of the week, a fact that could trigger price swings in either direction but will likely provide little in the way of technical or fundamental significance for future trading direction.
The other grains rallied today; Soybeans closed about 1.7% higher at $10.5100 per bushel; wheat finished about 1.7% higher at $5.5150 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 1.8% higher at $3.7425 per bushel. U.S. stocks rose on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 hitting another peak, as data had the economy growing more than previously forecast in the third quarter, mostly offsetting an unexpected drop in consumer confidence in November. The energy sector weighed on the broad market, with oil prices on the decline two days ahead of an OPEC meeting that has investors considering prospects for the first reduction in production quotas since 2008. Crude erased initial Tuesday gains after the head of Russia's state oil producer said a drop below $60 a barrel would not mean Russia would have to ease its output. Crude-oil futures were lately down $1.01, or 1.3%, at $74.77 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Already modestly higher, stock futures furthered their gains after the Commerce Department reported gross domestic product climbed at a 3.9 percent annualized rate, up from an initial 3.5% estimate. Separately, a gauge of home prices in 20 cities climbed at a reduced pace in September. After fluctuating on either side of neutral, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 24.53 points, or 0.1%, at 17,842.43. After setting another intraday record, the S&P 500 was lately up 1.01 point at 2,070.42, with industrials the best performing and energy hardest hit among its 10 major sectors. The Nasdaq.added 3.15 points, or 0.1%, to 4,758.05. Gold is trading about 0.1% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 2% lower, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.3% lower at about  1:00pm Chicago time.Monday, there were 413 contracts traded, up from 253 contracts traded on Friday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Monday decreased by 29 contracts to 9,654.


Oryza Afternoon Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Fail to Maintain Early Session Gains as Selling Pressure Picks up During Afternoon Trading

Nov 26, 2014
Chicago rough rice futures for Jan delivery settled 9 cents per cwt (about $2 per ton) lower at $12.280 per cwt (about $271 per ton). The other grains closed mostly higher today; Soybeans closed about 0.4% lower at $10.4700 per bushel; wheat finished about 1.9% higher at $5.6200 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 1.1% higher at $3.7825 per bushel.U.S. stocks fluctuated on Wednesday, with benchmarks not far from record highs, as investors considered reports on manufacturing and housing in assessing the strength of the U.S. economy. With the price of oil trading at four-year lows, the energy sector continued its recent downward trend. The government reported orders for durable goods rose in October, while a separate report had applications for unemployment benefits rising by 21,000 to 313,000 last week.
 Consumer spending rose 0.2% last month after holding steady in September, while a gauge of business activity in the Chicago area came in below expectations. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 9.14 points, or 0.1%, to 17,805.77. The S&P 500 added 3.27 points, or 0.2%, to 2,070.30, with telecommunications the strongest performer and energy hardest hit among its 10 major sectors. The Nasdaq gained 21.99 points, or 0.5%, to 4,780.24. The U.S. market is closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving holiday. Gold is trading about 0.1% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 0.5% lower, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.3% lower at about  1:00pm Chicago time.Tuesday, there were 429 contracts traded, up from 413 contracts traded on Monday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Tuesday deceased by 32 contracts to 9,622.


Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Muted Market as Participants Get Head Start on Thanksgiving Holiday

Nov 26, 2014
The U.S. cash market was muted today as many in the industry took off early to get a head start on the holiday weekend. Cash prices were slightly weaker falling again in sympathy with the futures market; however, the trade was extremely limited.
In other news, it was reported that the U.S. did not offer on the latest Iraqi tender; however, the IGB did receive offers from Thailand, Vietnam, Uruguay, and India.Analysts contend that the tender required shipment within 21 days of opening a letter of credit and that the U.S. would not have been able to ship the rice in the time frame required.

Oryza Overnight Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Shed a Couple Cents Overnight ahead of Mid-week Holiday Break

Nov 26, 2014
Chicago rough rice futures for Jan delivery are currently paused 2 cents per cwt (about $0.44 per ton) lower at $12.350 per cwt (about $272 per ton) ahead of floor trading in Chicago. The other grains are seen mixed: soybeans are currently seen about 0.2% lower, wheat is listed about 0.9% higher and corn is noted about 0.5% higher. U.S. stocks looked set to open flat to slightly lower on Wednesday as futures digested higher jobless claims and other weak economic data.
Market sentiment has been boosted by the upgrade to third-quarter GDP growth published on Tuesday. The figure was revised up to an annualized 3.9% from 3.5% and offset a separate report showing an unexpected drop in consumer confidence in November. Durable goods orders fell for the second straight month in October as expected from a further decline in aircraft orders at Boeing. Initial jobless claims rose back above 300,000 last week. There will be two housing indicators out on Wednesday.
 The weekly MBA Mortgage Index showed a drop in application numbers. Later in the morning home sales for October will be reported. In addition, there will be the Chicago purchasing managers' index (PMI) and the final Michigan sentiment survey. U.S. stock-index futures are currently seen about 0.1% lower. Gold is currently trading a touch lower, crude oil is seen trading about 0.6% lower,  and the U.S. dollar is currently trading about 0.2% lower at 8:10am Chicago time.

Thai Government Issues $1.5 Billion Worth Bonds to Cover Losses from Rice Pledging Schemes

Nov 26, 2014

The Thai government has issued bonds worth 50 billion baht (around $1.5 billion) to financial institutions to help it pay back debts associated with the rice pledging schemes introduced by various governments, according to local sources. The government floated the bonds through the Bank of Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives (BAAC) today. The Deputy Finance Minister was quoted as saying that the government is bent upon clearing rice debts as early as possible. He added that the bond issue was well-received by most of the non-banking institutions. The bonds issued by the BAAC are fully guaranteed by the government.
The BAAC will issue bonds in two tranches. In the first tranche, it will issue bonds worth 42 billion baht (around $1.28 billion) with a maturity period of three years and ten months, with an interest rate of 2.75% per annum. In the second tranche, it will issue bonds worth 8 billion baht (around $244 million) with a maturity period of seven years, with an interest rate of 3.01% per annum.
The Director-General of the Public Debt Management Office told local sources that the current bond issue is the largest single bond issue by a government-owned institution.Earlier this month, the Finance Permanent Secretary was quoted as saying that the Thailand government has incurred losses of around 680 billion baht (around $21 billion) from 11 rice pledging programs covering 15 harvests since 2004. He noted that losses from the rice pledging scheme launched by the Yingluck-led government alone accounted for about 518 billion baht (around $15.8 billion), or 82% of the total losses from rice subsidy schemes.

The National Anti-Corruption Commission (NACC) is investigating the level of corruption in the rice pledging scheme. It ruled that the former Prime Minister ignored warnings against misdealing in the controversial rice pledging scheme.

Vietnam Collaborates with IRRI to Redefine Rice Strategy

Nov 26, 2014

Vietnam's Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD) will sign a new contract with the Philippines-based International Rice Research Institute (IRRI) to work towards redefining and reforming the existing rice strategy for the country, according to a news release on the IRRI website.The new strategy will aim at reforming key elements of the current strategy, including developing newer rice varieties with high export value, branding of Vietnam rice, adopting advanced crop management techniques, enhancing the use of technology in rice farming, reducing pre- and post-harvest losses, adapting to climate changes, reducing carbon emissions from rice production and supporting small farmers by providing them relevant advices. In short, the agreement aims at enhancing Vietnam's rice sector to match global standards.
The collaboration is in line with the government's approval of the "Project on Agricultural Restructuring Toward Raising Added Values and Sustainable Development" in June 2013. Other government agencies such as the Vietnam Academy of Agriculture Sciences and the Vietnam National University of Agriculture, as well as key industry players like Vinafood and the Vietnam Food Association (VFA) will also play a vital role in implementing the new strategy.The new strategy is important in the light of Vietnam being criticized for focusing on low quality rice production and exports. Experts have been urging the government to shift focus to producing higher quality rice with high export demand.Vietnam's partnership with the IRRI dates back to 1963, since when the IRRI contributed significantly to the growth of the Vietnamese rice 

Unique Branding Key to Boost Cambodian Rice Exports

Nov 25, 2014
The "World's Best Rice" award presented to the Cambodian jasmine rice for third consecutive year at the Sixth World Rice Conference has boosted the confidence of the Cambodian rice exporters, who are keen on increasing exports to over one million tons by 2015. They are now planning to use the award to expand the scope of their rice exports.Increasing exports is also very important to raise the standard of living of the Cambodian rice farmers, say local rice experts.

Cambodia accounts for only 1% of world's total rice production but its fragrant rice varieties are popular in many countries. However, inefficiencies in production and export management are impacting the country's rice exports to a large extent. Lack of efficient seed distribution, collection, storage, logistics and marketing are the issues that need to be primarily addressed for promoting Cambodian rice as one of the top brands in the world, according to the President of the Cambodian Rice Federation (CRF).
The CRF President is also keen on streamlining export procedures as  huge quantities of rice is exported unofficially to Vietnam and Thailand through Cambodia’s borders every year.One of the top rice exporters noted that the Cambodian jasmine rice should be uniquely branded in order to be differentiated from the Thai fragrant rice as customers often tend to compare between the two fragrant rice varieties. He suggested that Cambodia's "romduol" jasmine variety has been voted thrice as the "World's best rice" and a unique brand could be developed based on "romduol".
Keeping aside the challenges at home, some issues on the global front are also posing challenges to the Cambodian rice exporters, say experts. Thailand's huge rice stocks coupled with above-expected outputs in many rice producing countries has put a downward pressure on global rice prices. Cambodian exporters say they cannot afford to compromise on prices to sell rice overseas.   Cambodia exported around 304,788 tons of rice in the first ten months of 2014, up about 3% from around 295,154 tons exported during the same period in 2013, according to data from the Secretariat of One Window Service for Rice export Formality (SOWS-REF). Cambodia exported 379,856 tons of rice in 2013.
USDA estimates Cambodia to export 1 million tons of rice (including official and unofficial exports to Vietnam and Thailand through borders) in 2014, down about 7% from around 1.075 million tons in 2013.  


Contents are published with permission of ORYZA

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