Monday, December 22, 2014

22nd December (Monday),2014 Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter by Riceplus Magazine

How Organic is Italy's Organic Rice?

Dec 19, 2014

Of late, organic rice and other organic food items have been gaining popularity in Italy. Especially, organic rice farmers have been selling their rice three times higher than that of conventionally grown rice. For instance, they sell organic rice at around €750 (around $926) per ton compared to around €250 (around $308) per ton of conventional rice. Organic rice farmers also claim that they produce about 6.7 tons per hectare compared to traditional rice yield of about 6.5 million tons.
However, there are concerns that the so-called organic rice is grown using traditional methods as a laboratory testing after milling process is not able to differentiate between organic rice and traditional rice. Also, experts say under normal conditions, organic rice is grown without chemicals and its yield cannot cross 3.5 tons per hectare.Some rice farms that claim to be organic farms grow both organic and non-organic rice, further muddling the distinction between the two in production and sales processes. 
Some farmer groups are calling for strict controls over use of use of chemicals in organic farms. They are demanding public and private institutions in various regions and provinces, and certification institutes, to verify the use of chemicals in the growing season. They say releasing such into the market tends to a fraud and those resorting to such frauds deserve punishment.

India Basmati Rice Export Prices Decline to $900 per Ton; Down 36% from Last Year

Dec 19, 2014

Basmati rice export prices this year fell to around $900 per ton, down about 36% from around $1,400 per ton last year, according to local sources. The decline is largely attributed to an expected increase in basmati rice production and decline in export demand, particularly from Iran.
Average basmati paddy rice prices fell to around Rs.2,200-2,800 per quintal (around $348-$443 per ton) this year from around Rs.3,500-4,000 per quintal (around $554-$663 per ton) last year.Iran imported around 1.44 million tons of rice in 2013-14 (April - March), up about 33% from around 1.08 million tons imported in 2012-13. Indian basmati farmers expecting the same trend to continue increased basmati rice acreage in 2014 kharif rice season (June - December) by about 40% to around 3.5 million hectares from around 2.5 million hectares last year. Indian government authorities are expecting basmati rice output this year to reach around 8.5 million tons, up about 40% from around 6.25 million tons produced last year.
However, Iran's stance to ban rice imports, is severely hurting Indian basmati rice farmers and exporters. While farmers are not getting fair prices, exporters who have already procured enough quantities of basmati rice expecting export orders are short of orders. According to the President of the All India Rice Exporters Association (AIREA), demand for basmati rice from other markets such as Europe and Saudi Arabia is stable, but due to excess supplies, exporters are forced to sell stocks at low prices.The AIREA President noted that there is yet no clarity over resumption of basmati rice imports by Iran, which constitutes about 35% of India's basmati rice exports. A senior official from the Agriculture and Processed Food Products Exports Development Authority (APEDA) noted that basmati rice prices currently are unrealistic and need a correction.
India exported 1.64 tons of basmati rice in the first six months of 2014-15 (April - September), down about 15% from around 1.94 million tons exported during the same period last year. At this pace, India's basmati rice exports are expected to decline by about 10-15% this year.India exported around 3.76 million tons of basmati rice in 2013-14, up about 9% from around 3.46 million tons exported in 2012-13.  

Italian Government Approves Use of Chemicals to Control Herbicide Resistant Weeds

Dec 19, 2014

Nearly 30% of Italian rice fields are infested by herbicide resistant weeds, according to the Italian Herbicide Resistance working group GIRE. The group is vigorously trying to help farmers overcome these weeds, which are known to severely impact rice production.The government is particularly concerned of the presence of barnyard grass, Echinocloa spp., and its several biotypes, including Alisma plantago-aquatica, Cyperus difformis, Schoenoplectus  mucronatus, in rice fields across the country. The Ministry of Agriculture recently approved use of powerful chemicals like quinclorac, pretilachlor, and propanil, mixed with herbicides ALS and in some cases with ACCAsi inhibitors to control herbicide resistant weeds. The use of these chemicals helped in controlling weeds to a large extent, according to the Ministry.
The Ministry also noted that a new weed called Eclipta prostata, mostly found in Spain, has been traced in Italy and is known to significantly reduce the paddy output. This particular weed can be controlled before seeding with oxadizon, or with ALS-inhibitors after seeding or with a mix of propanil and MCPA at a later stage also, according to the Ministry.Apart from weeds, presence of weevil such as Lissorhoptrus oryzophilus, is impacting productivity in some provinces like Mantua Verona, Ferrara and Sardinia.However, the Ministry recommended the use of these chemicals only for a limited time.

Oryza Overnight Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Find a Bid Despite Lower Grains in Early Friday Trading

Dec 19, 2014
Chicago rough rice futures for Jan delivery were trading 11.5 cents per cwt (about $3 per ton) higher at $12.225 per cwt (about $270 per ton) during early floor trading in Chicago. The other grains are seen trading lower: soybeans are currently seen 0.4% lower, wheat is listed about 1.8% lower and corn is currently noted about 0.6% lower.U.S. stocks rose on Friday, with the Dow industrials and S&P 500 on track for their second best week in nearly two years. After veering between small gains and losses, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was lately up 41.95 points, or 0.3%, at 17,820.10.
The S&P 500 added 7.78 points, or 0.4%, to 2,069.01, with energy rising the most and telecommunications the sole laggard among its 10 main sectors. The Nasdaq gained 12.02 points, or 0.3%, to 4,760.38. On Thursday, U.S. stocks rallied, with the Dow industrials climbing more than 400 points for the first time in three years, as investors applauded the Federal Reserve's pledge that it would be patient in increasing interest rates. Gold is currently trading about 0.5% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 2% higher,  and the U.S. dollar is currently trading about 0.2% higher at 8:40am Chicago time.

Oryza Afternoon Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Rally as Market Appears to Price in Positive Potential of Future Trade with Cuba

Dec 19, 2014
Chicago rough rice futures for Jan delivery settled 20 cents per cwt (about $4 per ton) higher at $12.110 per cwt (about $271 per ton). Rough rice futures traded steadily higher throughout the session today. Despite the days strong showing the market finished the week with a 3.5 cent per cwt (about $1 per ton) loss on account of a steep mid-week decline. The market remains trapped within an $11.800 -$13.000 per cwt (about $260-$287 per ton) trading range and looks poised to continue to do so in coming sessions. It will likely require a change in the fundamental outlook to push the market in either direction. The other grains were led lower by a sharp decline in wheat today; Soybeans closed about 0.5% lower at $10.3850 per bushel; wheat finished about 3.5% lower at $6.3225 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 0.1% lower at $4.1050 per bushel.
U.S. stocks rose on Friday, with the Dow industrials and S&P 500 on track for their second best week in nearly two years. After veering between small gains and losses, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was lately up 23.85 points, or 0.1%, at 17,7802. The S&P 500 added 8.57 points, or 0.4%, to 2,069.80, with energy rising the most and telecommunications the worst performing among its 10 main sectors. The Nasdaq gained 18.33 points, or 0.4%, to 4,766.73. Gold is trading about 0.2% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 5.8% higher, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.4% higher at about  1:00pm Chicago time.
Thursday, there were 1,324 contracts traded, down from 2,442 contracts traded on Wednesday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Thursday decreased by 132 contracts to 9,908.

Indonesia Vice-President Stresses for Rice Self-Sufficiency, Zero Imports

Dec 19, 2014

Indonesian Vice-President has stressed on the importance of achieving self-sufficiency in rice production and stop importing rice, according to local sources.Speaking to the Agriculture Ministry officials, he noted that the country has vast land territory and does not have the need to import rice. He ordered all the agricultural experts in the Ministry to visit rice fields regularly so that they can focus on the problems faced by the rice sector.
The Vice-President said that the 15-hectare agricultural land under the Agricultural Ministry could be used in an effective manner to achieve the self-sufficiency goal. He also noted that in order to achieve self-sufficiency in rice production, the government should ensure good irrigation network, supply of good quality seeds and availability of fertilizers.Indonesia's new President who took over in October this year also advocated the policy of achieving self-sufficiency in basic food items such as rice, corn and sugar over the next four years. The government planning to introduce an agricultural stimulus package to boost rice production in the country.
The government is targeting an increase of about 4% in the paddy rice production in 2015 to around 73.4 million tons (around 48.44 million tons, basis milled) from an estimated 70.61 million tons (around 46.65 million tons, basis milled) in 2014, according to local sources.Indonesia imported around 425,000 tons of rice so far this year. USDA estimates Indonesia to produce around 36.3 million tons of rice, basis milled (around 57.17 million tons, basis paddy) and import around 1.4 million tons of rice in MY 2013-14 (January 2014 - December 2014, more than double an estimated 650,000 tons imported in 2013.

Thailand Signs Two Million Ton Rice MoU with China

Dec 19, 2014

Thailand has signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with China today to export two million tons of rice next year in Bangkok during the two-day Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) summit scheduled for 19-20 December 2014, according to local sources.Details of the MoU would be discussed in the meeting, the Thai Prime Minister was quoted as saying. The Chinese Premier also confirmed the signing of the MoU. Last month, the Thai Commerce Minister hinted at striking a government-to-government (G2G) deal with China to export 2 million tons of rice next year. 
The two countries also signed a MoU under which China will construct two dual-track rail lines covering a total of 867 kilometers (around 542 miles). The two MoUs are expected to strengthen trade relations between China and Thailand.Thailand is also planning to speed up the delivery process under the existing one-million tons G2G contract with China. Thailand so far shipped 300,000 tons to China under the existing contract and is scheduled to export remaining 700,000 tons by July 2015. Thailand exported around 277,547 tons of rice to China in 2013, up about 94% from around 143,082 tons exported in 2012, according to data from Thai Rice Exporters Association (TREA).
Thailand currently has about 17.8 million tons of rice in its stockpiles, according to Bloomberg. The Thai Prime Minister was quoted as saying that it could three years to sell all the stocks. He noted that the government is planning to sell the stocks gradually to avoid price falls. According to a stock audit report of the existing rice stocks, 2.35 million tons are of good quality; 14.4 million tons are substandard but quality can be improved; 694,999 tons are of poor quality; and 390,000 tons are missing.
Meanwhile, the Thai Prime Minister hinted at filing civil and criminal law suits against previous governments' rice pledging schemes, which led to cumulative losses of around 680 billion baht (around $21 billion) to the exchequer. He noted that those responsible for losses would be sued for compensation.Today, the National Anti-Corruption Commission (NACC) has cleared senior Democrat Party leaders of misconduct in connection with rice sales struck in 2009 when in government.

UDP Fertilizer Technique Gaining Popularity in Ghana

Dec 19, 2014

The Urea Deep Placement (UDP) method of fertilizer application, which was first time introduced in 2012 in Ghana, is now gaining popularity across the country, according to local sources.Under the UDP method, pellets of super granule fertilizer known as briquettes is placed near the root zone of the rice plant. Usually one pellet is inserted between four rice plants.
This method of fertilizer application is said to deliver more nutrients to the plant all through the growth cycle by helping primary nutrients such as nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium as well as secondary nutrients such as sulphur, magnesium and calcium, nor micronutrients, zinc, copper, manganese, iron, boron and molybdenum retain in the soil. In traditional fertilizer application methods, fertilizer is usually leeched into streams and rivers leading to environmental pollution. A group of farmers were introduced to this method as part of a project by the West Africa Fertilizer Program (WAFP), International Fertiliser Development Centre (IFDC) and Africa Fertiliser and Agribusiness Partnerships (AFAP).
 The project was financed by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID).Farmers who adopted this method said by applying fertilizer using the UDP has increased their paddy yields by about 18 - 50% while reducing the cost of fertilizer by about 20 - 30%. They noted that this method has helped them to reduce input costs and increase incomes. The Chief of Party of the WAFP noted that the UDP method is found to more useful in Ghana where soil fertility is declining. It will help increasing yields by providing the needed nutrients and very little wastage and reducing carbon emissions significantly compared to the traditional methods.With the experiences of farmers who used the UDP technology, the WAFP is planning to vigorously promote the use of this method to help Ghana farmers increase their yields and reduce costs.
Ghana produces only 35% of the required demand of around 975,000 tons and imports the rest. Ghana's annual rice import bill stood at $306 million in 2013 and the government is planning to increase rice production by about 20% per annum over the next four years to make Ghana self-sufficient in rice. It is targeting at least 13% surplus rice production by 2018. The government has also sought technical support from Turkey, India and the Dutch to increase rice production in the country. It also developed a national rice seed map (NRSRM) to ensure self-sufficiency in quality rice seed production by 2018.According to the USDA, Ghana’s rice production is estimated at about 330,000 tons (milled basis) in MY 2014-15 (October - September). The U.S. agency expects Ghana to import 620,000 tons of rice during the year to meet consumption needs of around one million tons of rice. 

Weekly Recap: Oryza White Rice Index Pulled Lower by Declining India, U.S. Rice Export Quotes

Dec 19, 2014

The Oryza White Rice Index (WRI), a weighted average of global white rice export quotes, ended the week at about $430 per ton, down about $6 per ton from a week ago, down about $17 per ton from a month ago and down about $26 per ton from a year ago.The USDA forecasts 2015 global rice trade at about 41.9 million tons, pretty much unchanged from 2014 estimates.  The USDA forecasts 2014-15 global milled rice production at 475.2 million tons, down slightly from last year.  The organization forecasts 2014-15 global rice acreage at about 160.6 million hectares, down slightly due to expected declines in yield.
Thailand
Thailand 5% broken rice is today shown at about $405 per ton, unchanged from a week ago, down about $5 per ton from a month ago, and up about $20 per ton from a year ago.The UN’s FAO forecasts Thailand to reclaim the world’s top rice exporter status in 2014.  The FAO expects Thailand’s rice exports to increase about 53% y/y to 10.2 million tons in 2014.  The agency expects Thai exports to further increase to 11 million tons in 2015.  The USDA also estimates Thailand to export a record 11 million tons in 2015.
The National Anti-Corruption Commission has urged the Office of the Attorney General to protect witnesses involved in dealing with the rice pledging case, some of whom face counterclaims or parallel law suits that might deter them from testifying accurately, according to local sources.
India
India 5% broken rice is today shown at about $390 per ton, down about $10 per ton from a week ago, down about $25 per ton from a month and a year ago.
The USDA Post has estimated India’s MY 2014-15 (October-September) rice exports to be around 8.7 million tons, down about 16% from last year.
A surprising decision by Iran to ban rice imports temporarily has had a negative impact on Indian rice exporters: in 2013-14, 85% of Iran’s rice imports came from India’s basmati rice, a total of about 1.45 million tons.
The UN’s FAO expects India’s rice exports to decline about 5% y/y to 10 million tons in 2014 and to further decline about 18% y/y to 8.2 million tons in 2015.
The depreciation of the Indian rupee, which hit a 13-month low at Rs. 63.53 against the U.S. dollar due to declining crude oil prices, has started to exert downward pressure on Indian rice export prices, according to local sources.
Vietnam
Vietnam 5% broken rice is today shown at about $390 per ton, unchanged from a week ago, down about $20 per ton from a month ago and down about $25 per ton from a year ago.
Pakistan
Pakistan 5% broken rice is today shown at about $375 per ton, unchanged from a week ago, down about $20 per ton from a month ago and down about $10 per ton from a year ago.
Paddy rice production in FY 2014-15 is estimated at 8.437 million tons, according to the National Space Agency of Pakistan and the UN’s FAO, a decrease of about 19% from last year.
Central & South America
Brazil 5% broken rice is today shown at about $550 per ton, unchanged from a week and a month ago and down about $135 per ton from a year ago.
The Brazilian paddy rice index maintained by CEPEA reached around 37.91 real per 50 kilograms as of December 15, 2014, down about 0.11% from around 37.95 real per 50 kilograms recorded on December 8, 2014.  In terms of USD per ton, the index reached around $283 per ton on December 15, 2014, down about 3% from around $292 per ton recorded on December 16, 2014.
Five percent broken rice from Uruguay and Argentina is today shown at about $600 per ton, unchanged from a week and a month ago and down about $30 per ton from a year ago.
Mexico’s Secretariat of Agriculture, Livestock, Rural Development, Fisheries and Foodstuffs (SAGARPA) will provide support payments to rice farmers to help them overcome losses from declining rice prices since August 2012, according to the USDA Post.
Guyana’s rice production in 2014 has reached 633,000 tons, up about 18% from last year, according to the country’s Agriculture Minister.
U.S.
U.S. 4% broken rice is today shown at about $515 per ton, down about $30 per ton from a week and a month ago, and down about $75 per ton from a year ago.
Recent actions by President Barack Obama to relax restrictions on food items from the 50-year embargo with Cuba may lead to increased U.S. exports of agricultural products, including rice.
Chicago rough rice futures dropped on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday after reaching a high of $12.490 per cwt (about $275 per ton) on Monday.  The low this week was on Thursday, when they fell to $12.050 per cwt (about $266 per ton) but they quickly rebounded on Friday, closing at the high of $12.345 per cwt (about $272 per ton).
The U.S. cash market mostly held steady this week, although it dropped some early in the week in sympathy with the futures market.  Trading was limited throughout the week.
Other Markets
Cambodia 5% broken rice is today shown at about $465 per ton, unchanged from a week ago, up about $5 per ton from a month and a year ago.
In the first ten months of 2014, China imported 2.014 million tons of rice, an increase of about 7% from the same time last year, according to the China Customs General Administration.
The UN’s FAO estimates Sierra Leone’s 2015 rice imports will be about 215,000 tons, slightly up from 2014, mostly due to decreased production, which is down about 8% y/y, and somewhat related to the outbreak of the Ebola Virus Disease.
The UN’s FAO estimates Guinea’s 2015 rice imports will be about 320,000 tons, up about 7% from 2014, due to decreased production resulting from the Ebola Virus Disease outbreak.
Total rice stocks in the Philippines as of November 1 were ab out 2.95 million tons, up about 63% from the previous month and up about 21% from the same period last year, according to the Bureau of Agricultural Statistics.
Paddy rice production in Nepal is expected to decline about 5.1% from last year to 4.78 million tons, due to poor rain scheduling, according to the Ministry of Agricultural Development.
Private sector imports in Bangladesh have reached 405,000 tons of rice so far in FY 2014-15 (July-June), up about 8% from last year, according to local sources.
The USDA Post forecasts Ghana’s MY 2014-15 rice imports to reach about 600,000 tons, down about 7% from last year, due to increasing prices of imported rice and the rapid depreciation of Ghana currency against the U.S. dollar.
Rice prices in Saudi Arabia are expected to fall by about 5-10% in the coming months as crude oil prices have plunged nearly 50%, according to local rice traders.
Iraq has issued a tender to buy at least 30,000 tons of rice from the U.S. , Uruguay, Argentina, Vietnam, Brazil, and Thailand with a closing date of December 22.

FAO Forecasts China 2014 Rice Imports at 2.4 Million Tons; Unchanged from Last Year

Dec 19, 2014

The UN's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has forecasted China's 2014 rice imports at around 2.4 million tons, unchanged from last year due to an expected increase in production.The FAO estimates China's 2014 paddy rice production at around 205 million tons (around 143.3 million tons, basis milled), up about 1% from around 203.6 million tons last year (around 142.3 million tons, basis milled) . The increase is attributed to a slight increase in area planted, prompted by higher minimum purchase/support prices (MSP) and other government support measures, including direct payments to farmers and subsidies for seed and machinery as well as other agricultural inputs.
Average prices of Japonica rice remained stable despite increased supplies from the ongoing 214 harvest due to the government support measures.China has imported around 2.014 million tons of rice in the first ten months of 2014 (January - October), up about 7% from around 1.874 million tons imported during the same period last year, according to data from China Customs General Administration.USDA estimates China to produce around 144.5 million tons of rice, import around 4 million tons and export around 400,000 tons of rice in MY 2014-15 (July - June).

Thailand Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their Quotes Today; Other Asia Rice Quotes Unchanged

Dec 19, 2014
Thailand rice sellers lowered their quotes for 5% broken rice  and Parboiled rice by about $5  per ton to around $400 - $410 per ton, each, today. Other Asia rice sellers kept their quotes mostly unchanged.
5% Broken Rice
Thailand 5% rice is quoted at around $400 - $410 per ton, down about $5 per ton from yesterday and about $15 per ton premium on Vietnam 5% rice shown at around $385 - $395 per ton. India 5% rice is quoted at around $385 - $395 per ton, about $15 per ton premium on Pakistan 5% rice quoted at around $370 - $380 per ton.
25% Broken Rice 
Thailand 25% rice was last quoted at around $350 - $360 per ton, on par with Vietnam 25% rice shown at around $350 - $360 per ton. India 25% rice is quoted at around $350 - $360, about $20 per ton premium on Pakistan 25% rice quoted at around $330 - $340 per ton.
Parboiled Rice
Thailand parboiled rice is quoted at around $400 - $410 per ton, down about $5 per ton from yesterday. India parboiled rice is quoted at around $375 - $385 per ton, about $20 per ton discount to Pakistan parboiled rice quoted at around $395 - $405 per ton.
100% Broken Rice
Thailand broken rice, A1 Super, is quoted at around $330 - $340 per ton, on par with Vietnam 100% broken rice shown at around $330 - $340 per ton. India's 100% broken rice is shown at around $300 - $310 per ton, on par with Pakistan broken sortexed rice quoted at around $300 - $310 per ton.


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