Wednesday, July 15, 2015

10th July(Friday),2015 Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter by Riceplus Magazine

Indian Court to Hear Plea on Chinese Plastic Rice
Jul 09, 2015

Oryza.com -
The Delhi High Court has accepted a public interest litigation (PIL) that has alleged that the rice made out of plastic, which is imported from China, is being sold in the country along with real rice and has sought testing of samples, according to the Economic Times.
The PIL stated that plastic rice when mixed with real rice cannot be identified and when consumed, it may lead to serious gastric ailments. The petitioner urged the court to allow for raiding rice traders and testing the samples in order to protect the consumers.
The Court will reportedly hear the case on August 20, 2015.
Global Rice Quotes
July 10th, 2015
Long grain white rice - high quality
Thailand 100% B grade 390-400
Vietnam 5% broken 345-355
India 5% broken 380-390
Pakistan 5% broken 375-385
Myanmar 5% broken 415-425
Cambodia 5% broken 425-435
U.S. 4% broken 470-480
Uruguay 5% broken 535-545
Argentina 5% broken 530-540
Long grain white rice - low quality
Thailand 25% broken 355-365
Vietnam 25% broken 325-335
Pakistan 25% broken 335-345
Cambodia 25% broken 410-420
India 25% broken 350-360
U.S. 15% broken 445-455
Long grain parboiled rice
Thailand parboiled 100% stxd 390-400
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd 415-425
India parboiled 5% broken stxd 375-385
U.S. parboiled 4% broken 555-565
Brazil parboiled 5% broken 545-555
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken NQ
Long grain fragrant rice
Thailand Hommali 92% 865-875
Vietnam Jasmine 490-500
India basmati 2% broken NQ
Pakistan basmati 2% broken NQ
Cambodia Phka Mails 835-845
Brokens
Thailand A1 Super 315-325
Vietnam 100% broken 310-320
Pakistan 100% broken stxd 285-295 ↔Cambodia A1 Super 350-360
India 100% broken stxd 295-305
Egypt medium grain brokens NQ
U.S. pet food 350-360
Brazil half grain NQ
 All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com
Oryza Overnight Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Continue to Trend Higher; Grains Higher on Improvement in Chinese Economy
Jul 09, 2015
Chicago rough rice futures for Sep delivery are currently seen paused 5.5 cents per cwt (about $1 per ton) higher at $11.065 per cwt (about $244 per ton) ahead of floor trading in Chicago. The other grains are seen trading higher this morning; soybeans are currently seen trading about 1.7% higher, wheat is listed about 0.8% higher and corn is currently noted about 0.8% higher.
U.S. stocks were tipped to open higher on Thursday, as a recovery in battered Chinese stocks lifted sentiment, while focus remained on efforts to avert the collapse of Greece. China's benchmark Shanghai Composite stock index jumped almost 6% after Beijing delivered its latest salvo of measures to prop up a market that has crashed nearly 30% in the past month. The Chinese Securities regulator on Thursday banned shareholders from selling large stakes in listed firms in a bid to stem a slide in Chinese stocks that has sparked fears across the globe about a protracted slowdown in the world's second-biggest economy. In fact, the sharp selloff has put China risks firmly back in the spotlight, helping send Wall Street shares down almost 1.5% on Wednesday. On the domestic front, weekly jobless claims data showed a slight increase to 297,000. There are several Federal Reserve speakers on the calendar, while Fed Chair Janet Yellen speaks on Friday. Gold is currently trading about 0.1% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 2.4% higher,  and the U.S. dollar is currently trading about 0.2% higher at 8:30am Chicago time.

Will Deteriorating Thai Rice Stocks Divert Export Demand to India?
Jul 09, 2015


A combination of external factors are likely to be favourable to India's non-basmati rice exports in FY 2015-16 (April - March), according to the HinduBusinessLine.
After selling around 1.14 tons of rice in the latest tender on July 7, the Thai government is holding about 14.3 million tons of rice in its stockpiles. Of this around 4.6 million tons are declared as rotten and the government is planning to sell them to the industrial sector by the end of this month. About 8 million tons of rice have reportedly passed standard testing and could be sold for domestic consumption and export.
However, quality concerns still persist among buyers and they are expected to turn to India to meet their buying needs. Since India is said to have good quality white rice, parboiled rice and 100% broken rice, demand for these could be expected to increase in this year.
An India-based grains analyst told local sources that since prices of Indian rice are also competitive, exports are expected to be stable in FY 2015-16 unless the rupee strengthens against the dollar or the government intervenes. The monsoons, which are feared to be impacted by the El Nino weather pattern, should not play a spoil sport on Indian rice production else the government may decide to place restrictions on rice exports.
India 5% rice, parboiled rice and 100% broken rice currently stand at $385 per ton, $375 per ton and $300 per ton respectively compared to Thailand's $385 per ton, $320 per ton and $390 per ton.
India exported around 1.05 million tons of non-basmati rice in the first two months of FY 2015-16 (April - March), up about 13% from around 929,552 tons during the same period in FY 2014-15, according to data from the Agricultural & Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA). India's total rice exports in April - May 2015 stood at around 1.83 million tons compared to around 1.55 million tons last year.  

Venezuela to Cancel 'Rice for Oil' Deal with Guyana, Says Finance Minister
Jul 09, 2015

The PetroCaribe Deal between Venezuela and Guyana is coming to an end as Venezuela has not agreed to renew it after it expires in November this year, according to local sources. Venezuela sells oil to Guyana and buys rice from Guyana under the deal.
Guyana's Finance Minister told local sources that Venezuela has decided to cancel the deal with Guyana as it has secured shipments from Suriname and has enough local production to meet the domestic demand. Local media is also reporting that Venezuela has signed a new rice deal with Uruguay, and the deal would help Uruguay to clear off its $400 million debt it accumulated from taking Venezuela's oil at concessionary rates.
The Minister also noted that Venezuela has hinted that it may buy rice from Guyana next year to support its buffer stocks. He said that Venezuela has shown interest in working with Guyana to pursue rice markets together. For instance, the Venezuelan authorities have proposed that they would help Guyana in shipping its rice to other countries. Guyana will be allowed to bring rice to an office set in Venezuela's borders and from there, it could ship rice to its destination markets. However, the destination markets should have a good relation with Venezuela.
He noted that though the two options proposed by Venezuela are difficult to get into action, a team from Guyana has been invited to discuss the options.
However, with the expiration of the PetroCaribe deal, Guyana is under pressure to find new markets for its rice. Under the existing oil for rice agreement, Guyana is expected sells about 210,000 tons of paddy and polished rice annually to Venezuela.
Thailand Rice Exports Increase Sharply in May 2015
Jul 09, 2015
Thai rice exports increased sharply in May 2015 after declining about 11% m/m in April 2015, according to data from Thai Rice Exporters Association (TREA). Thailand has exported around 945,597 tons of rice in May 2015, up about 35% from around 700,011 tons exported in April 2015, and up about 7% from around 881,212 tons exported in May 2014, according to TREA. The increase is attributed to an expected decline in supply in Thailand as well as globally owing to drought-inducing El Nino weather pattern.
In value terms, Thailand’s rice exports earned about $416.22 million from total rice exports in May 2015, up about 22% from around $340.10 million earned in April 2015, and down about 2.5% from around $427.12 million earned in May 2014.
In May 2015, white rice exports accounted for around 416,991 tons (about 44% of total May 2015 exports), Hom Mali rice exports accounted for about 106,731 tons (about 11% of total May exports), brokens accounted for 182,796 tons (about 19% of total May 2015 exports), glutinous  variety accounted for 20,688 tons (about 2% of total May 2015 exports), parboiled rice accounted for about 211,696 tons (about 22% of total May 2015 exports) and husked/brown rice accounted for about 6,695 tons (about 0.7% of total May 2015 exports).
Average export prices of all varieties of rice except husked rice have declined during the month. Average export prices of broken rice witnessed the highest decline of about 10% month-on-month in May 2015, while average export prices of husked rice increased by about 6% month-on-month during the month.
Thailand exported around 3.77 million tons of rice in the first five months of 2015, down about 1.3% from around 3.82 million tons exported during the same period last year. Thai government is keen on exporting over 10 million tons of rice this year.




India Basmati Rice Exports May Increase by 10% in FY 2015-16 Due to Steady Demand, Says APEDA Official
Jul 09, 2015

India, which exported around 3.7 million tons of basmati rice in FY 2014-15 (April - May), is expected to export around 4 million tons of basmati in FY 2015-16 due to a steady demand, local sources quoted the Director of the Basmati Export Development Foundation, Agricultural & Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA).
He noted that India's basmati rice exports were affected in FY 2014-15 due to Iran imposing a temporary ban on imports citing surplus domestic availability. Iran imported around 900,000 tons of basmati rice from India in FY 2014-15 compared to 1.44 million tons in FY 2013-14.
However, he noted that this year, the situation has stabilized and export demand from other countries like Saudi Arabia is expected to compensate for the Iran shortfall. Saudi Arabia remained the top importer of Indian basmati rice in FY 2014-15 with around 966,931 tons, according to the APEDA data.
India exported around 780,090 tons of basmati rice in the first two months of FY 2015-16, up about 25% from around 622,135 tons during the same period in FY 2014-15, according to APEDA, though it started on a low note in April.
However, farmers are expected not to increase basmati rice acreage in this kharif season based on last year's experience of low demand and low prices, according to the Executive Director of the All India Rice Exporters' Association (AIREA). Basmati rice acreage increased about 31% to around 2.1 million hectares in 2014-15 from around 1.6 million hectares in 2013-14.
In 2014-15, domestic basmati paddy prices fell to around Rs.2,300-2,500 per quintal (around $362-$394 per ton) from around Rs.3,500-4,000 (around $551-$630 per ton) in 2013-14 mainly due to low shipments to Iran.
Separately, following an impleading petition by the Patiala Basmati Growers Association, Punjab in the Intellectual Property Appellate Board (IPAB) in the ongoing litigation between the APEDA and the GI Registry in the issue of including more areas to be recognized under GI for basmati, the IPAB has posted the case for final hearing on November 3 and ordered all the parties to file their written arguments by October. Already, the IPAB has accepted impleading cases by a farmers' group in Madhya Pradesh and Pakistan Basmati Growers Association (BGA).
Oryza Afternoon Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Supported by Rising Grains as Chinese Markets Stabilize and as Traders Prepare for Tomorrow's USDA Reports
Jul 09, 2015
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Chicago rough rice futures for Sep delivery settled 4 cents per cwt (about $1 per ton) higher at $11.050 per cwt (about $244 per ton). The other grains closed higher as well today; Soybeans closed about 2.8% higher at $10.1575 per bushel; wheat finished about 0.1% higher at $5.7800 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 1% higher at $4.2875 per bushel.
U.S. stocks more than halved gains on Thursday as optimism faded after an opening rebound on the jump in Chinese stocks overnight. The Dow Jones industrial average traded about 70 points higher after surging as much as 249 points in the open as the major averages briefly jumped nearly 1% or more. Germany's Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble conceded on Thursday that Greece would need some debt restructuring as part of any new loan program to make its economy viable, Reuters reported. The cash-strapped government is expected to submit proposals by midnight Thursday. The Shanghai Composite shot 5.8% higher on Thursday for its best day in six years after China instituted new supportive measures, including restrictions on short selling and loosening of margin lending regulations. European stocks also surged, with the DAX up more than 2.5%, as investors remained hopeful of a Greece proposal before the Friday deadline. Political talks over Greece must produce a strong outcome on Sunday for the European Central Bank to provide continued support, while there's only "very low" leeway to reprofile Greece's debt, euro zone leaders said, according to Reuters. On the domestic front, weekly jobless claims gained slightly to 297,000, the highest level since February. There are several Federal Reserve speakers on the calendar ahead of Fed Chair Janet Yellen's speech Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded up 125 points, or 0.72%, at 17,641. The S&P 500 traded up 15 points, or 0.71%, at 2,061, with financials leading eight sectors higher and utilities and telecommunications the only decliners. The Nasdaq traded up 45 points, or 0.92%, at 4,955. Gold is trading about 0.3% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 2.5% higher, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading at about 0.4% higher at about  1:15pm Chicago time.
Wednesday, there were 1,173 contracts traded, up from 1,033 contracts traded on Tuesday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Wednesday increased by 49 contracts to 9,351.
FAO Global Rice Price Index Declines for Tenth Consecutive Month
Jul 09, 2015

The FAO All Rice Price Index declined to around 213 points in June 2015, down about 0.9% from around 215 points in May 2015 due to a decline in all sub-indices. The market weakness was pervasive, dominating all market segments and virtually all origins, says the FAO.
The FAO index has been declining continuously since September 2014. It declined about 11% during the 10-month period.
The Higher Quality sub-index declined about 2 points or about 1% to around 184 points, while the Lower Quality Indica sub-index declined about 2 point, or about 1% to around 188 points in June 2015. Japonica sub-index declined by about 1 points, or about 0.3% to around 265 points this month from around 266 points last month. The Aromatic sub-index declined by about 3 points or about 1.6% to around 182 points in June 2015. The decline in Aromatic sub-index is mainly due to large production surpluses and a continued subdued import demand, according to the FAO.
In January - June 2015, the FAO All Rice Price Index averaged 218 points, down about 7.3% from around 235 points during the same period last year. Sub-index for higher quality Indica rice prices declined about 9.6% y/y and sub-index for lower quality Indica rice prices declined about 5.4% y/y. Aromatic rice price sub-index declined about 28% y/y. However, sub-index for Japonica rice prices increased about 4% y/y.
According to the FAO, rice export prices in the Asian origins such as Vietnam, India, Pakistan and Thailand declined due to continued strong competition for markets. Export prices in the U.S., Argentina and Uruguay also declined due to slow export sales.
During June 2015, average rice export prices of Thai 100% broken rice, Thai parboiled rice, Thai fragrant rice, Thai 5% rice and Thai 25% rice declined to around $385 per ton, $382 per ton, $1,048 per ton, $376 per ton and $365 per ton respectively. Average export prices of Thai A1 Super increased slightly to $327 per ton. Export prices of Vietnam 25% broken rice remained firm this month while those of Pakistan and India declined to around $346 per ton and $344 per ton  respectively. Export prices of the U.S. and Uruguay rice declined to around $485 per ton and around $538 per ton respectively.
Iraq Seeks to Purchase 30,000 Tons of Rice in International Tenders
Jul 09, 2015
Iraq has invited international tenders to purchase about 30,000 tons of rice from U.S., Uruguay, Argentina and India, Bloomberg quoted a statement from the Iraq's Trade Ministry.
Last date for submitting bids is July 15, 2015 and offers remain valid till July 21, 2015.
Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Prices Continue to Firm as Futures Rally; Iraq Issues New Tender
Jul 09, 2015
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Oryza.com -
The U.S. cash market was firmer today despite disappointing export sales as the futures market remains on fire and sellers are holding out in expectation of higher prices before the end of the marketing year.
Today the USDA reported that cumulative net export sales for the week ending on July 2nd, totaled 9,400 tons, which was 86% lower than last week and the prior 4-week average.
Increases were reported for the following destinations including: 10,600 tons to Guatemala including 6,000 tons unknown destinations, 1,700 tons to Canada, 900 tons to Mexico, 600 tons to Libya, and 300 tons to the United Arab Emirates. Net sales of 1,200 tons were reported for 2015/2016 including 700 tons to the United Arab Emirates and 500 tons to Jordan.
U.S. rice exporters shipped 104,400 tons, which was considerably higher than last week and  52% higher than the prior 4-week average. The primary destinations included:  24,700 tons to South Korea, 24,100 tons to Japan, 23,500 tons to Turkey, 7,300 tons to Mexico, and 7,100 tons to Libya.
 In the meantime, The IGB is seeking to buy either U.S., Uruguayan, Argentine, or Indian origin and offers need to be submitted no later than July 15th and must remain valid through July 21st.

EU 2015-16 Rice Imports to Increase 3.5% y/y to 1.18 Million Tons
Jul 09, 2015
The European Union's 2015-16 (September - August) rice imports are forecasted to increase about 3.5% to around 1.18 million tons from an estimated 1.14 million tons, , according to the report "Rice Market", issued by EU Committee for the Common Organisation of Agricultural Markets on June 25 2015.
While Japonica rice imports are forecasted to decline about 11% y/y to around 80,000 tons, Indica rice imports are forecasted to increase about 5% y/y to around 1.1 million tons.
The EU's 2015-16 rice exports (to third countries) are forecasted to increase about 2% to around 270,000 tons from an estimated 265,000 tons. Exports of Japonica rice varieties are forecasted to increase to 245,000 tons from an estimated 240,000 tons and exports of Indica rice varieties are forecasted to remain stable at 25,000 tons.
The EU's 2015-16 rice production is forecasted to increase to around 1.715 million tons, up about 5% from an estimated 1.637 million tons in 2014-15. Production of Japonica rice varieties is forecasted to increase about 9% to around 1.19 million tons from an estimated 1.089 million tons last year; and production of Indica rice varieties is forecasted to decline about 4% to around 525,000 tons from an estimated 548,000 tons last year.
Total area under rice is forecasted at around 423,000 hectares, up about 2% from an estimated 414,000 hectares last year. While area under Japonica varieties is forecasted to increase about 8% y/y to around 313,000 hectares, area under Indica varieties is forecasted to decline about 10% y/y to around 111,000 hectares.
More than half of European area is located in Italy, with 220,000 hectares (190,000 has sowed with Japonica, the rest with Indica varieties), followed by Spain, (110,220 hectares, half Japonica and half Indica),  Greece (28,690 hectares, of which 20,060 has Japonica and 8,600 Indica), Portugal (27,940 hectares, of which 17,000 hectares are Japonica and 10,940 hectares are Indica), France (12,000 hectares), Romania (11,500 hectares), Bulgaria (9,870 hectares) and Hungary (3,000 hectares). The data about areas and production are estimates by EU member states, apart from Bulgaria (same data as a year prior) and Hungary (estimates by Copa-Cogeca).
Brazil Rice Stocks Decline Slightly to 127,970 Tons in June 2015
Jul 09, 2015
Brazil rice stocks stood at around 127,970 tons in June 2015, slightly down from around 128,120 tons in May 2015 and down about 76% from around 540,961 tons in June 2014, according to the country's national grain supplying agency Conab.
According to Conab, rice stocks with the Selling Option Contract of Agricultural Products (OPCAO) as well as Federal Government Acquisition (AGF) have remained unchanged at last month's level of around 75,732 tons and 52,213 tons respectively. They were down about 77% and 75% respectively from their year ago levels. Rice stocks with farmers (Agricultural Familiar) stood at around 25 tons in June  2015, down 86% from around 175 tons in May 2015 and down about 96% from around 595 tons in June 2014. In June 2015, Brazil’s National Grains Supply Company (Conab) has forecasted the country's 2014-15 paddy rice production at around 12.544 million tons (around 8.53 million tons, basis milled), up about 3.5% from around 12.121 million tons (around 8.24 million tons, basis milled) in 2013-14, and slightly up from its May forecast of around 12.399 million tons

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