Friday, January 15, 2016

15th january,2016 Daily Exclusive ORYZA Rice E-Newsletter by Riceplus Magazine

Shipping Index Hits a Fresh Low Not Seen Since 1985

Jan 14, 2016

The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), reflecting the cost to ship dry bulk goods like coal, iron ore, cement, fertilizer and grain, has hit a fresh low of 400 and global analysts say this is a sign the real global economy has ground to a halt.  The BDI hasn’t hit 400 since January 1985. 
The dry bulk shipping market has seen prices slip lower with operating costs exceeding chartering rates, making it difficult for operators to pay off debt.  This is a far cry from the screaming rally a few years ago the ended with a 2008 peak and sharp decline.   
The BDI has been hit by a slowing Chinese economy, reducing the nation’s demand for iron ore and coal, according to Reuters, and an Indian ban on iron ore exports, according to the Business Standard. 
Reuters quotes a brokerage and investment bank as saying: "Dry bulk shipping is in the throws of a generational recession. The recovery in demand no longer appears to be a 2016 event and even 2017 is in question."
Global Rice Quotes
January 14th, 2016
Long grain white rice - high quality
Thailand 100% B grade          360-370           ↔
Vietnam 5% broken    355-365           ↑
India 5% broken         355-365           ↔
Pakistan 5% broken    330-340           ↔
Myanmar 5% broken   415-425           ↑
Cambodia 5% broken             425-435           ↔
U.S. 4% broken           465-475           ↔
Uruguay 5% broken    480-490           ↔
Argentina 5% broken 475-485           ↔
Long grain white rice - low quality
Thailand 25% broken 340-350           ↔
Vietnam 25% broken 335-345           ↓
Pakistan 25% broken 305-315           ↔
Cambodia 25% broken           410-420           ↔
India 25% broken       325-335           ↔
U.S. 15% broken         485-495           ↔
Long grain parboiled rice
Thailand parboiled 100% stxd            355-365           ↔
Pakistan parboiled 5% broken stxd    405-415           ↔
India parboiled 5% broken stxd         355-365           ↔
U.S. parboiled 4% broken       500-510           ↔
Brazil parboiled 5% broken    520-530           ↔
Uruguay parboiled 5% broken            NQ      ↔
Long grain fragrant rice
Thailand Hommali 92%          675-685           ↔
Vietnam Jasmine         425-435           ↓
India basmati 2% broken        NQ      ↔
Pakistan basmati 2% broken   NQ      ↔
Cambodia Phka Mails             745-755           ↔
Brokens
Thailand A1 Super      315-325           ↔
Vietnam 100% broken            335-345           ↔
Pakistan 100% broken stxd    285-295           ↔
Cambodia A1 Super   350-360           ↔
India 100% broken stxd         260-270           ↓
Egypt medium grain brokens NQ      ↔
U.S. pet food 280-290           ↔
Brazil half grain          NQ      ↔
All prices USD per ton, FOB vessel, oryza.com



Oryza U.S. Rough Rice Recap - Prices Drop for Second Day in a Row as Prospects for New Demand Fade

Jan 15, 2016

The U.S. cash market was considerably weaker again today as the pace of new exports sales continues to disappoint and as the prospects for additional demand seems to fade.
The USDA reported that cumulative net export sales for the week that ended on January 7th, totaled 43,000 tons, a decrease of 15% from the previous week and the prior 4-week average.
Increases were reported for the following destinations including: 28,300 tons to Haiti, 2,900 tons to Jordan, 2,800 tons to Mexico, 2,500 tons to Canada, and 2,100 tons to South Korea.
U.S. rice exporters shipped 42,300 tons, an increase of 29% from than last week but 3% lower than the prior 4-week average.
Increases were reported for the following destinations including: 28,400 tons to Mexico, 3,800 tons to Jordan, 2,200 tons to Taiwan, 2,000 tons to New Guinea, and 1,700 tons to Canada.

Thailand Millers Face Charges for “Circulating” Rice under the Mortgage Scheme in Fake G2G Deals with China

Jan 14, 2016

Thailand’s Attorney-General plans to sue seve rice millers in Thailand for their collaboration with former commerce minister Boosong Teriyapirom to circulate rice back to Thailand that was reportedly sold to China in government-to-government (G2G) deals,according to Thailand's The Nation. 
Thai officials have yet to sue the Chinese entities involved in the deal, adding that the case has a statute of limitation of 20 years. 
Meanwhile, tomorrow the former Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra is required to show up at her first hearing of a witness in a separate case for her responsibility for the now defunct rice mortgage scheme. 

Vietnam Rice Quotes Mixed; India Rice Sellers Lower Some of Their Quotes Today

Jan 14, 2016

Vietnam rice sellers increased their quotes for 5% broken rice by about $5 per ton to about $355-$365 per ton and lowered their quotes for 25% broken rice  and Jasmine rice by about $5 per ton and $15 per ton to about $335-$345 per ton and $425-$435 per ton, respectively, today. India rice sellers lowered their quotes for 100% broken rice by about $5 per ton to about $260-$270 per ton. Other Asia rice sellers kept their quotes unchanged today.                                
5% Broken Rice
Thailand 5% rice is indicated at around $350 - $360 per ton, about $5 per ton discount to Vietnam 5% rice shown at around $355 - $365 per ton. India 5% rice is indicated at around $355 - $365 per ton, about $25 per ton premium on Pakistan 5% rice shown at around $330 - $340 per ton.
25% Broken Rice
Thailand 25% rice is indicated at around $340 - $350 per ton, about $5 per ton premium on Vietnam 25% rice shown at around $335- $345 per ton. India 25% rice is indicated at around $325 - $335 per ton, about $20 per ton premium on Pakistan 25% rice shown at around $305 - $315 per ton.
Parboiled Rice           
Thailand parboiled rice is indicated at around $355 - $365 per ton. India parboiled rice is indicated at around $345 - $355 per ton, about $60 per ton discount to Pakistan parboiled rice last shown at around $405 - $415 per ton.
100% Broken Rice
Thailand broken rice, A1 Super is indicated at around $315 - $325 per ton, about $20 per ton discount to Vietnam 100% broken rice shown at around $335 - $345 per ton. India's 100% broken rice is shown at around $260 - $270 per ton, about $25 per ton discount to Pakistan broken sortexed rice shown at around $285 - $295 per ton.

Oryza CBOT Rough Rice Futures Recap - Chicago Rough Rice Futures Crater as Market Adds to Losses Sustained Yesterday and as Export Sales Continue to Disappoint

Jan 15, 2016

Chicago rough rice futures for Mar delivery settled 42 cents per cwt (about $9 per ton) lower at $10.880 per cwt (about $240 per ton). The other grains finished the day with mixed results; Soybeans closed about 0.3% higher at $8.8225 per bushel; wheat finished about 1.9% lower at $4.6875 per bushel, and corn finished the day unchanged at $3.5800 per bushel.
U.S. stocks traded higher Thursday, attempting to stabilize after a steep sell-off, helped by some recovery in oil prices and comments from Federal Reserve policymakers. The S&P 500 held more than 1.5% higher in afternoon trade, topping the psychologically key level of 1,900 in intraday trade as the energy sector traded more than 4% higher. In economic news, weekly jobless claims rose to 284,000. December import prices fell 1.2%, for a sixth-straight month of declines as the cost of petroleum and a range of other goods fell further, suggesting a tame inflation environment could persist in the near term, Reuters said. Overnight, the People's Bank of China set Thursday's yuan mid-point rate at 6.5616, compared with Wednesday's fix of 6.5630. European stocks closed more than 1.5% lower Thursday. Asian stocks ended mostly lower, with only the Shanghai composite closing higher, up nearly 2%.In afternoon trade, the Dow Jones industrial average traded 251 points higher, or 1.57%, at 16,402. The S&P 500 added 31 points, or 1.66%, to 1,921, with energy leading all sectors higher. The Nasdaq composite rose 85 points, or 1.89%, to 4,611. Gold is seen trading about 1.3% lower, crude oil is seen trading about 3.3% higher, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.1% higher at about  1:15pm Chicago time.

Wednesday, there were 1,108 contracts traded, up from 471 contracts traded on Tuesday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Wednesday decreased by 159 contracts to 13,310.

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