Tuesday, April 26, 2016

26 april,2016 daily exclusive oryza enewsletter by riceplus magazine

Nepal Rice Imports from India Increase About 36% y/y to $128 Million in First Eight Months of FY 2015-16, Says NRB Report

Apr 25, 2016

Nepal's rice imports from India increased about 36% y/y to around Rs.31.43 billion (around $128 million) in the first eight months of FY 2015-16 (August 2015 - March 2016), from around Rs.9.91 billion (around $94 million) during the same period last year, according to Kathmandu Post citing a report from the Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB).
The rice imports have increased significantly due to an imbalance between the production and consumption patterns in the country, according to the Deputy Director General at the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS). “Irrigation, inputs and manpower are extremely important for food production. We lack of all these resources. Hence, the imbalance between production and consumption has been growing every year,” he said.
According to the report, imports of most of the other commodities from India have dropped due to a six-month trade embargo since September 2015. However, rice imports have risen due to a decline in paddy rice production by about 5.1% to around 4.78 million tons in FY 2014-15 (August - July) following a late monsoon and untimely rainfall. The official is expecting imports of rice and other food items to increase further in the coming months as the winter crop harvest is likely to decline significantly.
The NRB report, however, shows that imports have not impacted rice prices in the country.
Normally, a drop in paddy production in Nepal is offset by imports from India. However, the on-going drought in many rice growing parts of India is likely to affect its winter/rabi crops, including rice. The report predicts that the situation in India may impact food security in Nepal.
One of the country's leading agro scientists noted that India had enforced a trade ban on several key food items to Nepal during the food crisis in 2007-08.“The episode could repeat again amid reports that farmers in India are likely to suffer crop losses due to drought and water shortage. The government should be proactive to maintain sufficient food stock so that India’s food exports ban will not affect Nepal,” he said.
Nepal reportedly imported rice worth Rs.24.75 billion (around $231 million) in the fiscal year 2014-15 (August - July), up about 43% from around Rs.17.26 billion (around $161 million) during FY 2013-14.

Central Bank of Nigeria Provides $25 Million Loans to Rice Farmers to Help Boost Production


Apr 25, 2016
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has provided a loan of around 4.9 billion (around $25 million) to rice farmers under its anchor borrower program, according to www.punchng.com quoting the CBN Governor.
The CBN Governor told reporters that the anchor borrower program is aimed at increasing agricultural output of rice and wheat as well as reducing the gap between production and consumption.
Under the program, rice farmers will be provided loans ranging from N150,000 (around $754) to N250,000 (around $1,256) to assist them in procuring necessary agricultural inputs like seedlings, fertilizers, pesticides as well as to help boost agricultural outputs and productivity, according to the CBN Governor.
The program was started by the CBN Governor in Kebbi State, where a total of 78,581 farmers were provided with a loan of N 210,000 (around $1,055) each. They are reportedly expected to produce a total of one million tons of rice this year. The success of the program in Kebbi State would be encouraging for farmers across the country, he said.
The Governor noted that the CBN has set aside around N 40 billion (around $201 million) from the N 220 billion (around $1.1 billion) Micro Small and Medium Enterprises Development Fund, which is set up to provide loans to farmers at single digit interest rate.
He has been promoting an increase in local rice production to reduce burden on the country’s  foreign exchange reserves and Naira.




  Government of Bangladesh to Procure 1.3 Million Tons of Boro Rice, Paddy Between May 5 – August 31, 2016
Apr 25, 2016

The government of Bangladesh has decided to procure around 1.3 million tons of paddy and rice during the 2016 Boro (January - May) harvest season, local sources quoted the Food Minister.
Talking to journalists after a meeting of food planning and monitoring committee at the secretariat on April 24, the Food Minister noted that the government will procure the Boro rice between May 5 to August 31, 2016.
Of the 1.3 million tons, the government will reportedly purchase 700,000 tons of paddy directly from farmers at Tk 23 per kilogram (around $300 per ton) and the remaining 600,000 tons of rice from millers at Tk 32 per kilogram (around $417 per ton). The cost of production of paddy and rice is estimated at around Tk 20.70 per kilogram (around $270 per ton) and Tk 29 per kilogram (around $378 per ton) respectively.
The Minister noted that every year, the government procures more rice compared to paddy but this year they have planned to procure more paddy to support farmers. Last year, the government procured 100,000 tons of paddy and one million tons of Boro rice.
As of April 24, 2016, the government held 1.1 million tons of rice and paddy in stocks against a total capacity of 2 million tons. The Food Minister reportedly assured that there would not be any storage problem for the procured rice and paddy.
Meanwhile, the officials of the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS) noted that 2015-16 (July - June) Aman (July - December) paddy rice output reached around 13.5 million tons, up from last year's 13.2 million tons due to increased plantation of high-yielding varieties. Aman accounts for 38% of the country's annual rice production. The government is reportedly aiming to achieve an output of 2.28 million tons from Aus (February - August) and 19 million tons from Boro crops.
However, officials are expecting boro production target may not be achieved as planting declined after many farmers switched to other crops such as wheat and potato. The 2015-16 boro acreage is stands at around 4.685 million hectares compared to last year's 4.8 million hectares.
Separately, the government is planning to impose a 10% supplementary duty on top of the 20% tariff on rice imports to support market prices during Boro harvest.
USDA forecasts Bangladesh’s MY 2015-16 (July 2015 – June 2016) milled rice production at around 34.5 million tons, unchanged from MY 2014-15. It forecasts Bangladesh to import around 350,000 tons of rice in MY 2015-16 compared to an estimated 1.2 million tons in MY 2014-15.

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India, Thailand Rice Sellers Increase Some of Their Quotes Today; Other Asia Rice Quotes Unchanged
Apr 25, 2016

Thailand rice sellers increased their quotes for parboiled rice by about $5 per ton to around $390-$400 per ton today. India rice sellers increased their quotes for 25% broken rice by about $5 per ton to around $335-$345 per ton. Other Asia rice sellers kept their quotes unchanged.        
5% Broken Rice
Thailand 5% rice is indicated at around $380 - $390 per ton, about $10 per ton premium on Vietnam 5% rice shown at around $370 - $380 per ton. India 5% rice is indicated at around $365 - $375 per ton, about $15 per ton premium on Pakistan 5% rice shown at around $350 - $360 per ton.
25% Broken Rice
Thailand 25% rice is indicated at around $365 - $375 per ton, about $10 per ton premium on Vietnam 25% rice shown at around $355- $365 per ton. India 25% rice is indicated at around $335- $345 per ton, about $15 per ton premium on Pakistan 25% rice shown at around $320 - $330 per ton.
Parboiled Rice           
Thailand parboiled rice is indicated at around $390 - $400 per ton. India parboiled rice is indicated at around $340 - $350 per ton, about $65 per ton discount to Pakistan parboiled rice last shown at around $405 - $415 per ton.
100% Broken Rice
Thailand broken rice, A1 Super is indicated at around $340 - $350 per ton, on par with Vietnam 100% broken rice shown at around $340 - $350 per ton. India's 100% broken rice is shown at around $275 - $285 per ton, about $15 per ton discount to Pakistan broken sortexed rice shown at around $290 - $300 per ton

USDA Post Forecasts Russia's MY 2015-16 Rice Exports to Increase 17% y/y to 190,000 Tons
Apr 25, 2016
The USDA Post forecasts Russia's MY 2015-16 (January - December 2016) rice exports at around 190,000 tons, up about 17% from last year and unchanged from the USDA's official estimates. It forecasts Russia's rice exports to remain unchanged in MY 2016-17.
The Post forecasts Russia's MY 2015-16 rice imports also at around 190,000 tons, up about 15% from last year and unchanged from the USDA's official estimates. It forecasts Russia's rice imports to remain unchanged in MY 2016-17.
The USDA Post forecasts Russia's MY 2015-16 paddy rice production at around 1.109 million tons (around 721 million tons, basis milled), up about 6% from last year and almost unchanged from the USDA's official estimates. It forecasts Russia's paddy rice production to increase slightly to around 1.11 million tons in MY 2016-17. The increase can be attributed to an increase in area sown. According to the Ministry of Agriculture’s forecast of spring grain area, area sown for rice is estimated at around 204,000 hectares in 2016, up from last year's 201,000 hectares.
The Post forecasts Russia's MY 2015-16 rice consumption at around 720,000 tons unchanged from last year and unchanged from the USDA's official estimates. However, it expects consumption to increase slightly in MY 2016-17 due to stagnating incomes of the Russian population and the generally tight economic situation. It forecasts consumption to increase despite increasing prices. In 2015, the price of rice increased by almost 50% to 145 roubles per kilogram ($2,172 per ton), according to the Post.
The Post reports that poor economic conditions of the Russian Federation in the beginning of 2016, tight federal and regional budgets, high indebtedness of agricultural producers, depreciation of the Russian rouble, increase in the price of inputs, and high interest rates, have all combined to create a very unfavorable situation for borrowing money on commercial terms in MY 2015-16. It expects the situation to continue in 2016-17 as well.
Thailand to Sell 11.4 Million Tons of Stockpiled Rice in Auctions from Next Week
Apr 25, 2016
Thailand's National Rice Policy Committee has approved the government's decision to sell 11.4 million tons of stockpiled rice through a series of auctions starting next week, according to Bloomberg citing the Permanent Secretary for Commerce.
The government is reportedly planning to sell one million tons of rice in each auction over the next two months. The Commerce Permanent Secretary told reporters that the government is aiming to generate an income of at least 100 billion baht (around $2.86 billion) from the sales.
“During these two months the timing is good to sell the grain due to a lack of supply amid drought,” the official was quoted.
The Commerce Ministry earlier noted that the government has 100,000 tons of "good grade" rice, 7.5 million tons of "substandard" rice that can be used for human consumption, 1.5 million tons of rice for industrial use and 2.4 million tons of spoilt rice.
Some traders were sceptical about the government's plans to sell of such huge quantity if rice in just two months.
Separately, the Commerce Ministry said in a statement that Thailand exported around 2.85 million tons of rice in the first three months of this year, up about 34% from around 2.13 million tons exported during the same time last year. In terms of value, Thailand's rice exports increased about 12% y/y to around $1.23 billion during the three-month period.

 

  Oryza CBOT Recap – Chicago Rough Rice Futures Rally as Bulls Return to Push Prices Higher Following Friday’s Broad Based Selloff

Apr 25, 2016
Chicago rough rice futures for July delivery settled 35.5 cents were cwt (about $8 per ton) higher at $11.090 per cwt (about $244 per ton). The other grains finished the day higher as prices rebounded from Friday’s selloff; Soybeans closed about 1.4% higher at $10.0975 per bushel; wheat finished about 0.7% higher at $4.7750 per bushel, and corn finished the day about 2.2% higher at $3.8375 per bushel.
U.S. stocks led declines in U.S. stocks Monday as the major averages traded lower ahead of major central bank meetings and a slew of earnings. The Federal Open Market Committee is not expected to move on interest rates at its meeting scheduled for this Tuesday and Wednesday, but investors will scrutinize the statement for indications on the potential for a hike at the June meeting. The Bank of Japan is due to release its statement on monetary policy Thursday. European stocks ended about half a percent lower or more, with bank stocks underperforming. Asian stocks closed lower with the Nikkei 225 off almost 0.8%.In afternoon trade, the Dow Jones industrial average declined 61 points, or 0.34%, to 17,943. The S&P 500 declined 6 points, or 0.32%, to 2,084, with energy leading decliners and consumer staples and telecommunications the only advancers. The Nasdaq composite traded down 14 points, or 0.31%, to 4,891. Gold is seen trading about 0.9% higher, crude oil is seen trading about 1.8% lower, and the U.S. dollar is seen trading about 0.4% lower at about  1:00pm Chicago time.
Friday, there were 3,499 contracts traded, up from 1,901 contracts traded on Thursday. Open interest – the number of contracts outstanding – on Friday decreased by 473 contracts to 11,051. 



Vietnam Exports 1.571 Million Tons of Rice in January 1 - April 21, 2016, Says VFA
Vietnam exported around 1.571 million tons of rice during January 1- April 21, 2016, up about 1.23% from around 1.552 million tons of rice exported in first four months of last year, according to data from the Vietnam Food Association (VFA). The average rice export price so far in this year stands at around $410 per ton (FOB), down about 4% per ton from around $429 per ton recorded during same time last year.
From April 1-21, Vietnam exported around 145,150 tons of rice, down about 78% from around 650,507 tons rice exported in full month of April 2015, and down about 75% from around 570,055 tons rice exported in full month of March 2016. The average export price in so far April stands at around $468 per ton, up about 13% per ton from a year ago and up about 16% per ton from a month ago.

ORYZA News have been published with permission of ORYZA.com  with thanks

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